Zenit vs FK Rostov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
2º
1º
11
4º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
20 | 66 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 61 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 59 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 57 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 54 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 53 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 46 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 39 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 38 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 35 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 34 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 31 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 28 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 26 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 22 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 21 |
16º
|
36.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
54.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
45.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
ZEN
3 - 0
FAK
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FCR
0 - 4
ZEN
28%
25%
48%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
KRS
0 - 4
ZEN
21%
25%
55%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ZEN
4 - 2
KRA
57%
21%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
ZEN
1 - 2
CRV
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FK Rostov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 0
FCR
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
KRS
1 - 3
FCR
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FCR
0 - 0
CSK
31%
25%
43%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FAK
2 - 2
FCR
26%
25%
49%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
KRA
3 - 2
FCR
57%
23%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |