Zenit vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
23.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
YAR
0 - 0
ZEN
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1999 |
ZEN
2 - 0
FCR
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
ZEN
2 - 0
ELI
56%
26%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1998 |
ZHE
1 - 4
ZEN
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1998 |
ZEN
0 - 0
TYU
75%
18%
8%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
CHE
1 - 1
SAT
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
YAR
1 - 0
CHE
49%
27%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1998 |
CHE
3 - 1
SPA
26%
24%
50%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
TYU
0 - 3
CHE
33%
28%
40%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
CHE
2 - 1
BAL
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |