Zenit vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
27.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
SPA
2 - 0
ZEN
79%
15%
6%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
ZEN
3 - 2
TOR
27%
29%
44%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
YAR
2 - 0
ZEN
51%
26%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1997 |
YAR
2 - 3
ZEN
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
ZEN
2 - 0
ZHE
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
CHE
0 - 1
CSK
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
KAM
0 - 0
CHE
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
CHE
4 - 0
TYU
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 1997 |
KUB
2 - 1
CHE
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
TOR
0 - 0
CHE
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |