Zenit vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
53.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
ZEN
5 - 1
URA
75%
16%
10%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
BRU
3 - 0
ZEN
41%
25%
34%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
ARS
0 - 0
ZEN
20%
22%
58%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
LAZ
3 - 1
ZEN
48%
23%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
TER
2 - 2
ZEN
19%
22%
59%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
EIN
1 - 1
BVB
20%
20%
61%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
BVB
1 - 1
LAZ
67%
19%
14%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
BVB
1 - 2
KOL
75%
16%
10%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
BVB
3 - 0
BRU
66%
19%
15%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
HER
2 - 5
BVB
12%
17%
71%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |