Europa League 1/64
Global 2-5
Zenit vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
41.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
ZEN
1 - 0
LNN
61%
24%
16%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
TOR
1 - 0
ZEN
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
ZEN
1 - 0
FCR
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
ROT
2 - 2
ZEN
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1999 |
SPA
4 - 1
ZEN
69%
19%
13%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
PAR
1 - 1
BOL
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
BOL
0 - 0
TOR
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
BOL
2 - 1
INT
49%
24%
27%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1999 |
INT
1 - 2
BOL
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
INT
3 - 1
BOL
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |