Champions League Last 16
Global 1-3
Zenit vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
42.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
KRA
0 - 0
ZEN
46%
25%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ZEN
1 - 0
KUB
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
SLB
1 - 0
ZEN
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ZEN
2 - 1
ORE
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 3
ZEN
38%
24%
38%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SCP
0 - 1
SLB
34%
26%
41%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
SLB
2 - 0
UNM
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PAÇ
1 - 3
SLB
21%
24%
56%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
SLB
1 - 0
ZEN
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
SLB
1 - 2
FCP
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |