Qualif. Champions 3ª Ronda Final
Global 3-1
Zenit vs AEL Limassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
ARS
0 - 4
ZEN
20%
21%
59%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
AEL
1 - 0
ZEN
29%
25%
47%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2014 |
DER
0 - 2
ZEN
23%
23%
54%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2014 |
ZEN
1 - 1
BRU
51%
24%
26%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
ZEN
1 - 0
KSC
71%
19%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
AEL Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
AEL
0 - 1
PAL
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
AEL
1 - 0
ZEN
29%
25%
47%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2014 |
LUD
1 - 0
AEL
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2014 |
STB
1 - 1
AEL
50%
24%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
AEL
0 - 3
APO
48%
27%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |