Zenit II vs Smolensk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
4.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
ZEN
0 - 2
ALA
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ZEN
2 - 1
KAL
85%
11%
5%
|
51 | 8 | 43 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
ZEN
3 - 0
PJK
58%
20%
22%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
FKS
2 - 1
ZEN
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
ZEN
2 - 0
ZSP
89%
9%
3%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Smolensk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
KAL
3 - 2
FSM
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |