Zenit II vs Fakel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
AVA
1 - 1
ZEN
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
YEN
2 - 1
ZEN
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
ZEN
2 - 0
BAL
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2017 |
SPA
3 - 1
ZEN
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
ZEN
0 - 1
TAM
42%
26%
33%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
FAK
1 - 3
YEN
26%
27%
47%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
ZNA
0 - 1
FAK
12%
21%
68%
|
58 | 22 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 1
FAK
43%
29%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
FAK
0 - 3
SPA
33%
27%
41%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
TAM
1 - 0
FAK
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |