Zenit Penza vs Strogino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
57%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
10º
12º
10º
41
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 13 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit Penza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2023 |
SAK
1 - 1
ZEN
59%
21%
19%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
ZEN
1 - 1
FKO
29%
24%
47%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SPA
3 - 0
ZEN
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ZEN
0 - 2
ARS
32%
23%
45%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
STR
1 - 0
ZEN
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Strogino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2023 |
STR
2 - 0
KHI
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 3
STR
21%
21%
58%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
STR
4 - 0
KOL
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ZAN
3 - 1
STR
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
STR
1 - 0
ZEN
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |