Zenit Penza vs Sakhalin Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
36.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+70%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
10º
12º
10º
37
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 13 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit Penza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FPP
1 - 0
ZEN
57%
20%
23%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ZEN
1 - 0
DIN
28%
24%
48%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
ZEN
1 - 3
KHI
25%
23%
52%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
FDC
3 - 3
ZEN
10%
15%
75%
|
30 | 8 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
ZEN
3 - 2
ZEN
57%
22%
22%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sakhalin Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
KHI
1 - 1
SAK
67%
18%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SAK
3 - 0
FPP
32%
23%
46%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +3 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
SAK
2 - 1
FRM
26%
21%
53%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SAK
0 - 0
DIN
10%
21%
69%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SAK
0 - 3
FKS
19%
20%
61%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -2 |