Zenit Penza vs FK Orel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
37.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+161%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit Penza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2012 |
KAL
1 - 1
ZEN
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
ZEN
0 - 0
SPA
38%
27%
36%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ZEN
0 - 1
MET
21%
25%
54%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
AVA
0 - 0
ZEN
73%
17%
9%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
ZEN
1 - 1
VIT
14%
21%
66%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2012 |
ORE
1 - 2
AVA
21%
25%
55%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 1
ORE
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ORE
1 - 1
SOK
27%
25%
48%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
ZVE
4 - 1
ORE
36%
26%
39%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
ORE
0 - 0
FKG
38%
27%
36%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |