Zenit Penza vs Kolomna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
11º
11º
4
13º
14º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 61 |
1º
|
63.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 55 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 55 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 47 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 45 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 45 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 45 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 35 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 33 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 31 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 28 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 26 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 24 |
14º
|
31% | |
|
|
15º
|
4 | 16 |
15º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 34% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 66% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit Penza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
FKK
1 - 1
ZEN
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
SOK
2 - 1
ZEN
76%
16%
7%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
ZEN
5 - 1
FPP
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
FKO
2 - 2
ZEN
53%
23%
24%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
ZEN
2 - 4
SPA
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Kolomna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ZVE
6 - 0
KOL
59%
22%
20%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
KOL
0 - 7
FKO
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
KOL
1 - 3
SPA
54%
20%
26%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
ARS
1 - 1
KOL
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
KOL
1 - 0
STR
31%
23%
46%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |