Zenit Penza vs Kaluga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
39.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit Penza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2014 |
POD
2 - 1
ZEN
41%
27%
32%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
ZEN
2 - 2
FCM
50%
26%
24%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2014 |
SOK
2 - 1
ZEN
70%
20%
10%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
ZEN
0 - 0
ZVE
42%
28%
31%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
FAK
2 - 0
ZEN
67%
21%
12%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Kaluga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2014 |
KAL
0 - 0
SOK
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
SPA
3 - 2
KAL
57%
22%
20%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
ZVE
1 - 3
KAL
40%
27%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2014 |
KAL
2 - 1
FCO
53%
25%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
FAK
2 - 0
KAL
66%
21%
13%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |