Zenit Penza vs Gubkin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit Penza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
VIT
3 - 0
ZEN
66%
21%
13%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
SPA
0 - 1
ZEN
27%
26%
48%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
ZEN
2 - 1
KOS
65%
21%
14%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
MET
0 - 0
ZEN
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
ZEN
3 - 0
LOK
40%
28%
32%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Gubkin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
FKG
3 - 1
KOS
66%
21%
14%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
MET
2 - 0
FKG
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
FKG
1 - 2
LOK
54%
25%
21%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ZNA
2 - 3
FKG
10%
20%
70%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
FKG
3 - 0
NIM
84%
12%
4%
|
44 | 15 | 29 | 0 |