Zenit Penza vs Arsenal Tula II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
56.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
11º
11º
21
2º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 61 |
1º
|
63.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 55 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 55 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 47 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 45 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 45 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 45 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 35 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 33 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 31 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 28 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 26 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 24 |
14º
|
31% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 16 |
15º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit Penza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 5
ZEN
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
ZEN
0 - 3
KPP
23%
23%
53%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -2 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
KHI
2 - 0
ZEN
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ZEN
0 - 3
FDV
27%
25%
48%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
STR
0 - 1
ZEN
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
ARS
1 - 1
SPA
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
KPP
0 - 1
ARS
59%
21%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
ARS
2 - 0
KHI
34%
26%
40%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
FDV
1 - 0
ARS
49%
25%
27%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ARS
0 - 1
STR
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |