Zenit Penza vs Arsenal Tula II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit Penza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
DIN
1 - 0
ZEN
68%
20%
12%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
ZEN
0 - 0
FDV
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ZEN
3 - 0
SAK
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
ZVE
3 - 1
ZEN
71%
19%
11%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
FKF
0 - 3
ZEN
11%
17%
72%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
ARS
3 - 0
FKF
88%
9%
3%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
ARS
0 - 4
DIN
19%
25%
56%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -3 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
KAL
1 - 1
ARS
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
ARS
1 - 4
SOK
15%
23%
61%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
SAL
2 - 1
ARS
67%
20%
13%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |