Zenit Izhevsk vs Orenburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
9º
8º
23
2º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit Izhevsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PER
2 - 1
ZEN
78%
17%
5%
|
37 | 69 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ZEN
2 - 2
NOS
60%
21%
20%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FKK
1 - 0
ZEN
53%
20%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
ZEN
0 - 1
KAM
12%
20%
68%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ZEN
2 - 0
FKK
38%
22%
41%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Orenburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ORE
0 - 0
MIA
40%
22%
38%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FKK
1 - 2
ORE
68%
17%
15%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ORE
1 - 1
FCN
19%
23%
58%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FCN
1 - 1
ORE
76%
16%
8%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ORE
0 - 0
FKK
27%
21%
52%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +1 |