Zemun vs Novi Pazar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
17.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zemun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
ZEM
3 - 0
ZEL
76%
17%
7%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2009 |
MLA
0 - 1
ZEM
18%
25%
58%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SIN
1 - 2
ZEM
15%
25%
61%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
ZEM
4 - 1
SMJ
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
ZEM
2 - 1
RAD
76%
17%
7%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
SLO
4 - 0
NPA
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
NPA
1 - 0
MLA
43%
28%
29%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
MLA
2 - 0
NPA
56%
25%
19%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
NPA
0 - 0
KOL
51%
26%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
HAJ
1 - 2
NPA
32%
27%
41%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |