Željeznicar vs Zrinjski Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
8º
4º
10
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 42 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 41 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 39 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
|
2º
|
13 | 38 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 36 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 33 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 30 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 27 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 21 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 20 |
10º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 20 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 15 |
12º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
12% | 30% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
37.5% | 36.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
49.5% | 33% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
GOS
0 - 3
ZEL
24%
26%
50%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ZEL
1 - 1
SLO
60%
24%
17%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 1
ZEL
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ZEL
3 - 1
IGM
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 2
ZEL
54%
25%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ZRI
1 - 1
BBL
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
ZRI
3 - 1
SLO
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
ZRI
1 - 0
POS
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
ZRI
0 - 4
VIT
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 0
ZRI
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |