Cup Semi-finals
Global 2-0
Željeznicar vs Zrinjski Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BBL
2 - 0
ZEL
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ZEL
2 - 0
TRA
72%
19%
10%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ZEL
2 - 1
SIR
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
ZEL
3 - 0
OSA
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LEO
0 - 2
ZEL
25%
27%
48%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SIR
3 - 0
ZRI
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ZRI
2 - 0
LEO
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ZRI
2 - 1
VEL
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
ZRI
3 - 0
ZVI
57%
22%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SAR
1 - 0
ZRI
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |