Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 3-2
Željeznicar vs Zeta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
ZEL
2 - 1
RAD
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 0
ZEL
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
KRU
1 - 1
ZEL
31%
32%
37%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
ZEL
2 - 1
ZRI
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SLO
2 - 2
ZEL
46%
28%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zeta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2017 |
VOJ
2 - 2
ZET
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
ZET
1 - 0
BOK
54%
26%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
LOV
0 - 3
ZET
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ZET
1 - 0
BUD
42%
28%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
MLA
0 - 1
ZET
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |