Europa League Semi-finals
Global 3-4
Željeznicar vs Fehérvár analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
29%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1985 |
FHV
3 - 1
ZEL
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1985 |
DNM
1 - 1
ZEL
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1985 |
ZEL
2 - 0
DNM
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1984 |
ZEL
4 - 0
FCU
60%
21%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1984 |
FCU
2 - 0
ZEL
74%
15%
12%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fehérvár
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1985 |
FHV
3 - 1
ZEL
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1985 |
FHV
1 - 0
MUD
26%
25%
49%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1985 |
MUD
1 - 0
FHV
83%
12%
6%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1984 |
PAR
2 - 0
FHV
87%
8%
5%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1984 |
FHV
5 - 0
PAR
4%
29%
68%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |