Željeznicar vs Velež Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
39.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
11º
7º
59
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SLO
3 - 0
ZEL
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ZEL
1 - 1
POS
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BBL
3 - 2
ZEL
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ZEL
1 - 0
SLO
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
IGM
2 - 0
ZEL
21%
27%
53%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 0
SAR
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SIR
2 - 2
VEL
34%
29%
37%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
VEL
3 - 0
ZRI
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
GOS
0 - 4
VEL
25%
27%
48%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ZBE
0 - 0
VEL
14%
24%
63%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |