Europa League Last 16
Global 5-2
Željeznicar vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
34.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1971 |
STJ
1 - 0
ZEL
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1971 |
BOL
2 - 2
ZEL
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1971 |
ZEL
1 - 1
BOL
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
BRU
3 - 1
ZEL
80%
13%
8%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
ZEL
3 - 0
BRU
34%
24%
42%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1971 |
STJ
0 - 2
HIB
53%
24%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1971 |
AIR
5 - 4
STJ
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1971 |
STJ
1 - 0
ZEL
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1971 |
STJ
0 - 0
DUN
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1971 |
CLY
1 - 2
STJ
23%
26%
51%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |