Željeznicar vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
13%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2004 |
PEN
1 - 5
ZEL
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
ZRI
1 - 5
ZEL
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
ZEL
4 - 1
RUD
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
ORA
2 - 3
ZEL
27%
27%
46%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
ZEL
4 - 0
GLA
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2004 |
PEN
1 - 5
ZEL
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
DOM
2 - 2
PEN
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
LIB
0 - 3
PEN
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SGI
1 - 1
PEN
18%
24%
59%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
FIO
0 - 1
PEN
17%
23%
60%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |