Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-0
Željeznicar vs Olimpik Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LEO
0 - 2
ZEL
25%
27%
48%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ZEL
1 - 0
VEL
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
OSA
0 - 1
ZEL
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SAR
1 - 0
ZEL
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ZEL
1 - 0
OSA
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpik Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
OSA
1 - 0
RAD
68%
23%
9%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ZRI
1 - 4
OSA
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
OSA
0 - 1
ZEL
34%
28%
38%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
OSA
1 - 0
SLA
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ZEL
1 - 0
OSA
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |