Qualif. Champions Tercera ronda Final
Global 0-5
Željeznicar vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
ZEL
0 - 1
RUD
85%
11%
4%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2002 |
ZEL
1 - 0
LSK
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
ZEP
1 - 1
ZEL
28%
26%
46%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2002 |
LSK
0 - 1
ZEL
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2002 |
IAA
0 - 1
ZEL
41%
23%
36%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2002 |
SOU
3 - 1
NEW
32%
26%
42%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
NEW
3 - 1
WHU
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2002 |
BBU
2 - 2
NEW
38%
26%
37%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
NEW
3 - 0
CHA
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
DER
2 - 3
NEW
29%
26%
45%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |