Željeznicar vs Kozara Gradiška analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
18.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.6%
3.6%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2012 |
SIR
0 - 0
ZEL
48%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
SAR
2 - 2
ZEL
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
ZEL
3 - 1
SLA
73%
18%
10%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 2
ZEL
33%
28%
40%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
ZEL
5 - 0
GOS
80%
15%
5%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Kozara Gradiška
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
KOZ
0 - 6
OSA
19%
26%
55%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
ZRI
2 - 3
KOZ
81%
14%
5%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
KOZ
1 - 2
TRA
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
RUD
3 - 0
KOZ
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
KOZ
1 - 2
SIR
16%
26%
58%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |