Europa League Last 16
Global 4-2
Željeznicar vs FC Universitatea Craiova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1984 |
FCU
2 - 0
ZEL
74%
15%
12%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1984 |
SIO
1 - 1
ZEL
75%
14%
11%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1984 |
ZEL
2 - 1
SIO
45%
21%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
ZEL
5 - 1
SLI
59%
20%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
SLI
1 - 0
ZEL
55%
21%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC Universitatea Craiova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1984 |
BRA
2 - 0
FCU
41%
31%
29%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1984 |
FCU
2 - 0
ZEL
74%
15%
12%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1984 |
FCU
3 - 1
BIH
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
FCU
5 - 2
CHI
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1984 |
FCU
3 - 2
OLT
71%
18%
12%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |