Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Željeznicar vs Dinamo Minsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1984 |
ZEL
4 - 0
FCU
60%
21%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1984 |
FCU
2 - 0
ZEL
74%
15%
12%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1984 |
SIO
1 - 1
ZEL
75%
14%
11%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1984 |
ZEL
2 - 1
SIO
45%
21%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
ZEL
5 - 1
SLI
59%
20%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Dinamo Minsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1984 |
DNM
0 - 1
WLO
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1984 |
WLO
0 - 2
DNM
47%
24%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1984 |
DNM
2 - 0
SCP
38%
25%
36%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1984 |
SCP
2 - 0
DNM
79%
13%
8%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
HJK
0 - 6
DNM
36%
23%
41%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |