Europa League 1/16
Global 3-3
Željeznicar vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
BRU
3 - 1
ZEL
80%
13%
8%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
ZEL
3 - 0
BRU
34%
24%
42%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
AND
5 - 4
ZEL
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1970 |
ZEL
3 - 4
AND
31%
24%
45%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
BOL
1 - 0
VAR
64%
23%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
SAM
2 - 1
BOL
37%
29%
33%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1971 |
AND
0 - 2
BOL
74%
17%
10%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
BOL
5 - 2
VIC
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
BOL
1 - 1
AND
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |