Železničar Pancevo vs OFK Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
5º
10º
9º
16
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 63 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 55 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 55 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 50 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 48 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 48 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 45 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
3º
|
16 | 45 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
|
5º
|
13 | 42 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 39 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 37 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 35 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 34 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 30 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 28 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 18 |
16º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
46.5% | 59.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
53.5% | 40.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Železničar Pancevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
VOJ
2 - 0
ZEL
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ZEL
2 - 0
FKS
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
RAD
2 - 1
ZEL
44%
28%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ZEL
2 - 1
NOV
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
JED
0 - 1
ZEL
35%
29%
36%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
OFK Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BEO
3 - 2
PAR
24%
25%
51%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NAP
1 - 3
BEO
38%
28%
35%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BEO
3 - 5
RAD
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
BAC
0 - 1
BEO
72%
18%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
BEO
1 - 2
ČUK
21%
25%
54%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |