Železničar Pancevo vs Mladost Lučani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
5º
11º
10º
36
2º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 57 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 48 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 47 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 46 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 45 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 45 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 37 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 37 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 35 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 33 |
13º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 32 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 28 |
15º
|
73.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
13.5% | 98% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
86.5% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Železničar Pancevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
CRV
2 - 1
ZEL
72%
18%
11%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ZEL
0 - 1
BEO
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
VOJ
2 - 0
ZEL
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ZEL
2 - 0
FKS
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
RAD
2 - 1
ZEL
44%
28%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mladost Lučani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MLA
1 - 3
PAR
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
NAP
1 - 2
MLA
31%
29%
40%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MLA
2 - 1
RAD
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
MLA
1 - 0
BUD
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
TSC
1 - 2
MLA
67%
20%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |