Železničar Pancevo vs IMT Novi Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
5º
11º
10º
23
12º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 57 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 48 |
3º
|
31.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 47 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 46 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 45 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 44 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 44 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 39 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 37 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 37 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 34 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 33 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 32 |
14º
|
38% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 26 |
15º
|
80% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 13 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
10% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
90% | 93.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Železničar Pancevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
JED
0 - 1
ZEL
35%
29%
36%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 0
ZEL
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ZEL
1 - 1
NAP
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
RAD
2 - 3
ZEL
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ZEL
1 - 3
TRA
18%
21%
60%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
IMT Novi Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 0
PAR
25%
25%
50%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
NAP
1 - 1
NOV
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
TSC
1 - 0
NOV
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 4
RAV
90%
8%
2%
|
70 | 29 | 41 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 3
CHE
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |