Zbrojovka Brno vs Sparta Praha II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
2º
13º
12º
6
6º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 61 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 54 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 46 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 45 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 44 |
5º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 44 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 42 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 41 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 41 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 39 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 39 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
8 | 37 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 36 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 34 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
|
15º
|
6 | 32 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 26 |
16º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
81% | 58% |
|
Relegation
|
16.5% | 40.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zbrojovka Brno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FKM
0 - 1
ZBR
43%
25%
31%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ZBR
1 - 6
SLO
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
CHR
1 - 0
ZBR
40%
24%
36%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
OPA
1 - 1
ZBR
41%
25%
35%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
VJI
0 - 2
ZBR
33%
24%
43%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sparta Praha II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
SLO
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
OPA
4 - 2
SPA
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
SPA
4 - 0
VJI
50%
23%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
SPI
2 - 1
SPA
50%
23%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 2
BOI
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |