Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Zbrojovka Brno vs RFC Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zbrojovka Brno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1964 |
LIE
2 - 0
ZBR
54%
23%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1963 |
ZBR
4 - 0
PAR
55%
21%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 1963 |
PAR
3 - 2
ZBR
60%
20%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1963 |
SER
1 - 2
ZBR
56%
19%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1963 |
ZBR
5 - 0
SER
50%
20%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
RFC Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
BER
2 - 0
LIE
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
LIE
3 - 0
CER
59%
23%
19%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
LIE
1 - 1
DIE
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1964 |
LIE
2 - 0
ZBR
54%
23%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
STR
0 - 0
LIE
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |