Europa League 1/16
Global 5-2
Zbrojovka Brno vs Keflavik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
15.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zbrojovka Brno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
ESB
1 - 1
ZBR
41%
23%
35%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
ZBR
6 - 0
ESB
66%
18%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1978 |
WIS
1 - 1
ZBR
59%
20%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
ZBR
2 - 2
WIS
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
UJP
0 - 2
ZBR
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Keflavik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
KEF
1 - 0
KAL
52%
22%
26%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
KAL
2 - 1
KEF
60%
20%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
KEF
4 - 1
HAU
73%
17%
9%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
VAL
1 - 2
KEF
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1979 |
KEF
1 - 0
KRR
67%
21%
13%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |