Q. Europa League Semi-finals
Global 7-4
Zbrojovka Brno vs Inkaras Kaunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
7.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zbrojovka Brno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 1997 |
INK
3 - 1
ZBR
31%
24%
46%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1997 |
ZBR
5 - 1
KAR
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
TEP
1 - 2
ZBR
36%
28%
37%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
ZBR
2 - 1
ESK
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
VIZ
1 - 1
ZBR
37%
27%
37%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Inkaras Kaunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 1997 |
INK
3 - 1
ZBR
31%
24%
46%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1996 |
INK
1 - 1
SSO
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1996 |
SSO
4 - 3
INK
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 1996 |
FKK
2 - 1
INK
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1995 |
INK
0 - 3
BIF
18%
23%
59%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |