Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Unia Janikowo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
2º
8º
4º
10
10º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 35 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
83.5% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
STA
3 - 0
ZAW
7%
14%
79%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
PSZ
5 - 1
ZAW
18%
21%
61%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ZAW
1 - 0
KSG
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
ZAW
2 - 1
GKS
35%
23%
41%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 5
ZAW
6%
13%
82%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Unia Janikowo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
PSZ
26%
26%
48%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
KSG
1 - 0
UNI
31%
25%
45%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 0
BAL
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
USW
1 - 0
UNI
18%
20%
62%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 3
NOW
50%
24%
27%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |