Cup Semi-finals
Global 1-6
Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
48.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
ZAW
1 - 1
OLI
72%
19%
10%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 0
ZAW
17%
23%
60%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ZAW
1 - 0
GKS
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
WAR
4 - 0
ZAW
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MIE
1 - 1
ZAW
23%
25%
52%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
WAR
1 - 1
GDA
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LPO
0 - 2
WAR
35%
26%
39%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -5 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
WAR
4 - 0
ZAW
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 2
WAR
31%
26%
44%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
WAR
3 - 1
GÓR
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +5 |