Zarzis vs Gabès analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zarzis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
ETO
0 - 1
ZAR
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
TAT
1 - 0
ZAR
24%
31%
45%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ZAR
2 - 0
JSK
45%
28%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
BEN
3 - 1
ZAR
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAB
1 - 1
ZAR
40%
29%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gabès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
OLY
1 - 1
GAB
29%
29%
43%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
GAB
5 - 2
CSH
45%
28%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ASD
2 - 2
GAB
47%
27%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
GAB
1 - 1
ESP
40%
29%
32%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
STA
1 - 1
GAB
53%
27%
21%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +2 |