Zarzis vs Etoile Metlaoui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
29%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
2º
7º
6º
3
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
15º
|
0 | 52 |
1º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 48 |
2º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 48 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 47 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 47 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
|
1º
|
6 | 44 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 43 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
|
5º
|
3 | 41 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 39 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 38 |
10º
|
5.5% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 38 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 38 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 37 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 36 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 32 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 31 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
11.5% | 7.5% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
7.5% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
75% | 78.5% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zarzis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
EGS
1 - 3
ZAR
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ZAR
1 - 1
STA
26%
28%
46%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
JSO
2 - 1
ZAR
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
COS
1 - 1
ZAR
24%
28%
48%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
EMM
0 - 3
ZAR
21%
28%
51%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Etoile Metlaoui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 0
ASS
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
ASS
2 - 2
ETO
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 1
EGS
49%
27%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
BEN
3 - 0
ETO
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 1
OLY
39%
29%
32%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |