Zarzis vs Ben Guerdane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
17%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
13%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zarzis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ETO
1 - 0
ZAR
50%
27%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ZAR
0 - 0
ASD
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
EGS
2 - 3
ZAR
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
ZAR
1 - 4
ETO
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
STA
1 - 2
ZAR
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ben Guerdane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
BEN
0 - 2
ESP
27%
30%
44%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ETO
4 - 0
BEN
70%
21%
10%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 0
JSK
21%
27%
52%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
BEN
0 - 2
ODK
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2015 |
LAN
1 - 0
BEN
51%
26%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |