Zarzis vs Marsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.7%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
28.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zarzis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
ESP
5 - 0
ZAR
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
OLY
1 - 1
ZAR
48%
28%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ZAR
2 - 3
ETO
41%
29%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CSS
5 - 1
ZAR
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ZAR
3 - 2
USM
46%
29%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ASD
2 - 0
USM
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
STA
0 - 1
ASD
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ASD
2 - 0
GAB
52%
27%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
CSH
2 - 4
ASD
49%
27%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
ASD
0 - 0
ESH
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |