Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 3-3
FC Bălți vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
36.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Bălți
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2017 |
SHF
5 - 0
ZAR
59%
21%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
MIL
2 - 0
ZAR
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2017 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ZIM
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
ZAR
5 - 0
MOL
82%
14%
5%
|
72 | 32 | 40 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SAX
1 - 1
ZAR
15%
23%
62%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
KRU
1 - 0
SAR
27%
30%
43%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 0
ZEL
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
SIR
0 - 1
SAR
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ZRI
3 - 2
SAR
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
SAR
0 - 1
SIR
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |