Zarautz U19 vs Bergara KE Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
21.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+163%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
3º
8º
5º
4
7º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
6 | 77 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 72 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 60 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 57 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
6 | 54 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 52 |
6º
|
5.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 52 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 50 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 49 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 48 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 47 |
11º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 44 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 39 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 35 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 31 |
15º
|
10% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 30 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 28 |
17º
|
17% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 28 |
18º
|
24.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
8.5% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zarautz U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
GER
1 - 4
ZAR
22%
21%
57%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ZAR
2 - 0
ANT
43%
23%
35%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CDG
2 - 1
ZAR
40%
23%
38%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ZAR
1 - 0
BEA
59%
20%
21%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DEP
3 - 2
ZAR
59%
20%
21%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bergara KE Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
EIB
2 - 1
BER
43%
22%
35%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BER
1 - 5
DAN
24%
21%
55%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
HER
0 - 0
BER
34%
23%
43%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
IND
1 - 1
BER
31%
23%
47%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BER
0 - 3
ATH
41%
22%
37%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |