Zaragoza 2014 vs Peña Ferranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
35.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zaragoza 2014
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ZAR
0 - 0
PFR
29%
23%
48%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
HUE
1 - 1
ZAR
88%
9%
3%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
ZAR
0 - 3
SAA
12%
18%
71%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
DEL
2 - 3
ZAR
66%
19%
15%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
ZAR
0 - 0
BIE
29%
24%
47%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Peña Ferranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 1
PEN
75%
16%
10%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
PEN
0 - 2
UDC
50%
23%
27%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
CDM
0 - 3
PEN
29%
24%
47%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 2
SAB
22%
23%
55%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CDA
2 - 0
PEN
50%
23%
28%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |