Zaragoza 2014 vs Casetas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
62.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zaragoza 2014
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 1
ZAR
67%
19%
14%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ZAR
0 - 0
PEN
59%
20%
21%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 0
ZAR
64%
20%
17%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ZAR
1 - 2
SAN
49%
22%
29%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SAB
3 - 0
ZAR
70%
18%
12%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
UDC
2 - 2
PEN
65%
20%
15%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ASJ
0 - 3
UDC
33%
25%
43%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
UDC
3 - 1
CFV
30%
25%
45%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
TAM
4 - 1
UDC
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
UDC
1 - 0
SIE
34%
25%
41%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |