Zaragoza 2014 vs Casetas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
47%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zaragoza 2014
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
CDC
2 - 0
ZAR
57%
21%
22%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
ZAR
1 - 1
LAA
19%
21%
60%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
GIN
0 - 0
ZAR
80%
14%
7%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ZAR
1 - 4
CDA
30%
25%
45%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ATC
1 - 0
ZAR
50%
23%
27%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Casetas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
UDC
0 - 1
LAA
28%
25%
47%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
CDA
4 - 3
UDC
49%
24%
27%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
UDC
3 - 0
HER
43%
25%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CDM
1 - 1
UDC
29%
25%
46%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
UDC
3 - 1
CDC
47%
25%
29%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |